« Les réponses du système alimentaire au XXe siècle ne sont plus celles du XXIe siècle » (Olivier De Schutter)

Olivier De Schutter, rapporteur spécial des Nations Unies sur le droit à l’alimentation depuis mai 2008, finit son 2e mandat à ce poste en 2014. Il dresse un portrait du système alimentaire mondial dont nous héritons en ce début de XXIe siècle et le rôle que pourraient y jouer les petits agriculteurs du Sud, le 16 janvier 2014 à l’occasion de la conférence Agriculture for Food Sovereignty tenue à Londres à l’initiative de UK Food Group. Très structurante pour notre propos, nous traduisons son intervention tenue en anglais.

« Du point de vue de la productivité, les 50 dernières années sont un succès »

« D’où vient le système agricole dont nous héritons aujourd’hui ?

Le paradigme des années 1950 – 60 consistait à répondre à une demande alimentaire croissante dans le contexte d’une démographie galopante. Les rendements agricoles n’étaient pas suffisamment élevés au moment même où, en 1955, nous atteignons le pic annuel de croissance de la population mondiale à + 2,5 % par an, contre +1,4% par an à l’heure actuelle. À l’Ouest, la préoccupation était alors de promouvoir la productivité, d’encenser les économies d’échelle et l’optimisation par-dessus tout le reste. Dans cette logique, les 50 dernières années sont un grand succès : la productivité agricole a crû de 2,1% par an. Ce qui veut dire que très vite la croissance de la productivité agricole a dépassé la croissance de la population, d’autant plus que la démographie allait en déclinant.

La faim, l’obésité, l’environnement, la surconsommation de viande : les échecs patents du système alimentaire actuel

Mais aujourd’hui, après l’instauration de la PAC (Politique agricole commune) en 1962, après l’accélération des exploitations soja de large échelle aux États-Unis dans les années 40, 50 et 60, après les révolutions vertes de l’Amérique latine et de l’Asie, que restent-ils des solutions imaginées au sortir de la Seconde Guerre Mondiale ? Si le système agraire a réussi à relever les rendements, il a échoué à plusieurs autres égards.

  1. La faim d’abord, qui n’a pas été réduite de manière significative : le chiffre usuellement diffusé par les agences des Nations Unies estime que 842 millions de personnes sont sous-nourries à l’heure actuelle. C’est une sous-estimation importante de la réalité du problème. Cette évaluation du nombre de personnes sous-nourries repose sur l’hypothèse que l’apport moyen en calories nécessaire par an à une personne est celui d’une personne sédentaire. Or nous savons que l’immense majorité des personnes pauvres pratiquent des activités physiques exigeantes et que les ruptures fréquentes et de court terme dans l’accès à la nourriture sont fréquentes. La sous-nutrition touche en réalité 1,2 à 1,3 milliard de personnes, et ce chiffre ne baisse pas.
  2. Deuxio, l’apport qualitatif. De ce point de vue, l’échec de notre système alimentaire est massif : quelque deux milliards de personnes souffrent de carences en iodes, en vitamines, en minéraux ou en zincs. S’y ajoute une industrie de la transformation des aliments qui bénéficie d’un vaste accès à des matières premières agricoles bon marché, qu’elle transforme et fournit aux sociétés développées sous la forme de produits transformés riches en sel, en sucre et matières grasses. 400 millions de personnes sont obèses et 1 milliard souffre de surcharge pondérale.
  3. Troisièmement, l’environnement, qui n’était pas considéré du tout comme un élément de l’équation dans les années 1950 ou 1960. Cependant, l’agroindustrie a comme conséquence une dépendance aux énergies fossiles dans la production des aliments et est un facteur d’accélération de l’érosion des sols et de pollution par l’utilisation massive des pesticides et des engrais.
  4. Quatrième impact de l’intensification de la production : les bétails industriels, qui sont à la fois parfaitement insoutenables, et dévient des ressources rares de la production céréalières vers l’alimentation animale. En 2050, 50% de la production céréalière dans le monde ira à l’alimentation animale. Selon la FAO, dans un rapport de 2009, nous produisions quelque 200 millions de tonnes de viande par an en 2005-2007, nous aurions besoin de produire 470 millions de tonnes par an pour répondre à la demande croissante de viande globalement. C’est parfaitement insoutenable. Et la seule manière de solutionner cette surconsommation ? Consommer moins ! Même s’il existe des moyens pour produire de la viande avec une empreinte environnementale moindre, cela ne suffit pas. 90 kilogrammes par personne et par an, 120 kilogrammes en Australie, aux Etats-Unis ou en Nouvelle Zélande, 60 kilogrammes en Chine, telles sont aujourd’hui les niveaux de consommation moyens de viande dans le monde, alors qu’un niveau soutenable globalement se situe à 30 à 33 kilogrammes par personne et par an.

« Les petits paysans n’ont aucune possibilité de réembauche par ailleurs »

Cinquième et dernier impact : lorsqu’au Nord, l’industrialisation de la production agricole s’est traduite par l’exode rural et par le réemploi des anciens agriculteurs dans l’industrie par exemple, elle a été encore plus dramatique au Sud. Là, les petits paysans n’ont aucune possibilité de réembauche par ailleurs, parce qu’il y en a peu ou pas. Et c’est toujours aujourd’hui dans ces zones rurales des pays en développement que l’extrême pauvreté est toujours la plus développée. Pourquoi ? Parce que nous nous sommes concentrées exclusivement sur les économies d’échelle, sur l’efficience des rendements, sur la mondialisation des marchés et l’alimentation, nous avons intégralement laissé de côté le développement rural et la réduction de la pauvreté qui y reste prédominante. Ce qui a plongé nombre des pays les plus pauvres du monde dans un cercle vicieux : alors que de plus en plus de paysans ont dû, contraints et forcés, émigrer vers les villes d’abord dans les années 1960 et puis de manière croissante jusqu’à la fin des années 1990, les Gouvernements de ce pays n’ont eu d’autres choix que d’importer de plus en plus massivement des denrées alimentaires lourdement subventionnées par les contribuables occidentaux. Conséquence : entre 1990 et 2008, la facture moyenne d’achat des denrées alimentaires des pays les moins riches a crû de 400 à 600%.

« Une voie durable de développement pour les agriculteurs du Sud »

Les réponses du système alimentaire du XXe siècle ne sont pas celle du XXIe siècle. Oui, le système de production répond à la demande croissante – la production actuelle est de 4 800 kilocalories de nourriture par an et par personne. Mais ce n’est plus suffisant et le système alimentaire mondial doit désormais cumuler à la quantité d’autres objectifs.

Nombreux sont ceux qui caricaturent l’agroécologie comme un retour en arrière et une forme de nostalgie pour l’agriculture de nos grands-parents, alors que c’est une forme d’agriculture fondée sur un système intensif en savoir-faire transmis d’un agriculteur à l’autre, sur une connaissance fine des liens entre les plantes, les arbres et les animaux, répliquant à l’échelle d’un champ les interactions des écosystèmes naturels. Et pour les agriculteurs du Sud, qui ne peuvent ni hypothéquer leurs terres ni acheter à prix d’or des intrants, c’est sûrement là un voie de développement bien plus durable. »

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